Conor McGregor v Donald 'Cowboy' Cerrone Betting Preview

Conor McGregor v Donald 'Cowboy' Cerrone Betting Preview

Cerrone and McGregor are the main event at UFC 246 (Credit: USA Today)

Quick Bets:


UFC 246 will see the return of the organisations' premier cash cow as Conor McGregor returns to the Octagon to go head-to-head with Donald Cerrone at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas. As with all of the Irishman’s bouts it’s marked down as the night’s main event despite there being no belts on the line. Despite this, there are plenty of intriguing MMA betting options available with all of the top bookmakers.

There certainly is a different feel in the build-up to this match-up. McGregor’s usual persona of a loud-mouth wind-up merchant has been replaced with a rather different, if not refreshing, persona.

‘The Notorious’ - who has been caught up in a number of high profile controversies in recent months - claims to have turned a corner and while he hasn’t promised to give up his antics of old, he’s certainly toned them down.

Instead of launching a series scathing personal attacks like he has with the majority of his previous opponents, McGregor has gone as far as to admit his admiration for “family man” Cerrone.

The media circus still centres around the 31-year-old, but his usual mental mind-tricks have been kept to a minimum, as far as Cerrone is concerned anyway.

Many have pegged the fight as an easy lay-up for McGregor’s return to the UFC, and bookies certainly agree with that sentiment. A victory for the whiskey connoisseur is pegged at 1/3 generally.

Cerrone Is No Easy Match Up

However, Cerrone is a veteran inside the cage and offers a potentially difficult fight for McGregor. Cowboy has fought five times since McGregor was beaten up by Khabib Nurmagomedov in October 2018 - so ring rust won’t be an issue for the Colorada man.

At 36-years-old it could be argued he’s past his prime, and coming off the back of two losses to Justin Garthje and Tony Ferguson - both of whom have been mooted for potential McGregor scraps - it could be seen as a final payday for an experienced campaigner who the UFC hold in particularly high regard, especially against an opponent who is expected to pull in lucrative numbers.

"Cowboy Cerrone is one of the best ever. He holds a tonne of records in this sport and loves to be the underdog. A lot of people wrote Cowboy off and that Conor was coming back and getting a lay-up. This isn’t a lay-up at all,” said UFC President Dana White in a recent interview.

He has 36 wins in total throughout his career with 47% of those by submission, meaning he poses a threat that McGregor has often struggled with. All four of McGregor’s MMA losses have come via submission, with his sole TKO defeat coming famously at the hands of 51-0 boxer Floyd Mayweather - although that bout took place under the rules of the sweet science.

Cowboy is the physically bigger man too. Standing at 6’0 he will tower over the 5’9 McGregor, although the Irishman will have a one-inch reach advantage. With this fight taking place at Welterweight (170 pounds), Cerrone will not have to take much of a weight cut into consideration - but it's a dilemma McGregor will not have to contend with either.



It should be taken into account, however, that McGregor admitted he is underweight ahead of Saturday night, tipping the scales at a little over 160lbs. Any extra weight advantage Cerrone can take into the fight will be crucial, especially if he decides to take it to the ground.

McGregor hasn’t had much luck in the 170 division. He was defeated by Nate Diaz at UFC 196 via a second-round rear naked choke before exacting his revenge in the rematch, a five-round war at UFC 201. It’s often debated that McGregor's ideal weight is 155, and White has expressed concern over his insistence on fighting at welterweight.

With this in mind, Cerrone seems like the value play to win the fight at 5/2 with BetVictor. For punters who want a bit more value, Cowboy is somewhat of a second-round specialist with 14 finishes there in his career but the early rounds are where McGregor tends to be his most dangerous.

The Notorious has a tendancy to tire as the fight goes on, however, so betting on a Cerrone win in round 3-4 at 15/2 with 888Sport could prove fruitful.

Can Mac Come Back?

McGregor has been bullish about his most recent comeback, emphasising that he is preparing for at least three brawls in 2020, with the end goal being a rematch with Khabib in Moscow.

You can’t question his pedigree. Before his brief retirement, McGregor dominated the featherweight division before dismantling Eddie Alvarez to seal the lightweight title in one of the most impressive performances ever seen in the Octagon, on MMA’s return to Madison Square Garden, where he first dubbed himself the ‘Champ Champ’.

There were signs of life during some periods of the fight with Khabib, but he was ultimately outclassed by arguably the pound-for-pound best fighter on the planet following a two-year absence and reported foot injury. That loss, perhaps, can be excused.

Should he be back to his old self, you would fancy him to execute an early knockout. At 1/3 outright winner with most bookmakers, the best value for McGregor backers lies in round betting. He is 2/1 with Ladbrokes to stop Cerrone in the first, with the second round valued at 9/2 with Betway. I wouldn't talk anyone out of either option.

Recommended Betting Sites

shield of trust Secure trusted partners Trusted star verified Verified
Affiliate Disclosure: At nl-casino.org, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. This means that if you visit a website through our link and make a deposit, nl-casino.org will receive a commission payment at no extra cost to you. At nl-casino.org, we want to ensure that players are matched with the right casino and sportsbook offers for them. For this reason, some of the recommended site links are affiliate links. More
  1. Bet EUR10 get EUR40 + EUR10 Casino Bonus
    Promo Code: RACING

  2. Bet EUR10, Get EUR10

  3. Get up to EUR100 in Bet Credits!

  4. EXCLUSIVE: Bet EUR15, Get EUR10

  5. Welcome Bonus Bet EUR10 Get EUR20

  6. Bet EUR10 and Get EUR10 Welcome Offer

  7. Bet EUR10 Get EUR20

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply The Promotion operates as a EUR/€20 Surprise Bet when you place a bet of at least EUR/€10 on any market with odds greater than or equal to 1.50 as your first bet. The Promotion runs from 09/08/2021 / 12:00 (BST) until 31/12/2021 / 12:00 (BST) (the “Promotional Period”). The Promotion is only valid to: (a) new customers; (b) customers aged 18 years or over. To qualify for the Promotion, participant must deposit and place a EUR/€10 bet as their first bet on any market (excluding each way) in the sportsbook with odds greater than or equal to 1.50. Only original odds count toward the promotion. Supercharged odds do not count towards the promotion. An accumulation of smaller stakes will not count. Cashed out bets do not count towards this promotion. Only available once per customer. Rewards will be credited to qualifying participants within 48 hours after placing the qualifying bet. Potential winnings from the Surprise Bet are paid in withdrawable cash, excluding the stake. This offer cannot be used in conjunction with any other offer. Visit Site
  8. Bet EUR10 Get EUR10

  9. Bet EUR10, Get EUR10 Free Bet

    18+ New Players only. For free bet wagering requirements and minimum odds read T&C’s. www.begambleaware.org Terms Apply New players only. The qualifying bets to claim the Free Bet must have minimum odds of 3/1 (4.00) or higher and must be settled before triggering free bet. 18+. begambleaware.org - Full Terms Apply Visit Site
  10. Bet EUR10 Get EUR30 in Free Bets

×